Champions League
Oct 24, 2023 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
  • Juan Bernat 77' yellowcard
  • goal Brais Mendez 63'
  • yellowcard Aritz Elustondo 71'
  • yellowcard Mikel Merino 75'

Benfica vs Real Sociedad - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Oct 3, 2023 8.00pm
Inter Milan 1 - 0 Benfica

Real Sociedad

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Oct 3, 2023 5.45pm
Salzburg 0 - 2 Real Sociedad

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 53.85%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 21.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for a Real Sociedad win it was 0-1 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result

Benfica 53.85% (-1.09)
Draw 24.4% (+0.42)
Real Sociedad 21.75% (+0.68)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.98% (-0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.68% (-0.90)
Under 2.5 51.32% (+0.90)
Over 3.5 26.85% (-0.79)
Under 3.5 73.15% (+0.79)
Over 4.5 12.55% (-0.52)
Under 4.5 87.45% (+0.53)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5 81.01% (-0.76)
Under 0.5 18.99% (+0.76)
Over 1.5 49.46% (-1.27)
Under 1.5 50.53% (+1.27)

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 0.5 61.69% (+0.18)
Under 0.5 38.31% (-0.18)
Over 1.5 24.93% (+0.17)
Under 1.5 75.06% (-0.17)

Score analysis

Benfica 53.84%
Draw 24.39%
Real Sociedad 21.75%
Benfica
1-0 @ 12.08% (+0.15)
2-0 @ 10.03% (-0.14)
2-1 @ 9.63% (-0.08)
3-0 @ 5.56% (-0.21)
3-1 @ 5.33% (-0.18)
3-2 @ 2.56% (-0.07)
4-0 @ 2.31% (-0.15)
4-1 @ 2.22% (-0.13)
4-2 @ 1.06% (-0.06)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 53.84%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.59% (+0.19)
0-0 @ 7.27% (+0.26)
2-2 @ 4.62% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 24.39%
Real Sociedad
0-1 @ 6.98% (+0.28)
1-2 @ 5.56% (+0.12)
0-2 @ 3.35% (+0.15)
1-3 @ 1.78% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 1.48% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.07% (+0.06)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 21.75%