Champions League
Sep 20, 2023 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
  • Anatoliy Trubin 2' yellowcard
  • Antonio Silva 13' redcard
  • Rafa Silva 54' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Otamendi 69' yellowcard
  • goal Roko Simic 15'
  • yellowcard Lucas Gourna-Douath 21'
  • goal Oscar Gluh 51'
  • yellowcard Samson Baidoo 58'
  • yellowcard Roko Simic 67'
  • yellowcard Sekou Koita 90'+1'

Benfica vs Red Bull Salzburg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions

Red Bull Salzburg

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 52.2%. A win for Red Bull Salzburg had a probability of 24.76% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.09%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Red Bull Salzburg win was 1-2 (6.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.

Result

Benfica 52.2% (-0.24)
Draw 23.04% (-0.01)
Red Bull Salzburg 24.76% (+0.24)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.96% (+0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.52% (+0.24)
Under 2.5 42.48% (-0.24)
Over 3.5 35.11% (+0.24)
Under 3.5 64.89% (-0.23)
Over 4.5 18.35% (+0.18)
Under 4.5 81.65% (-0.18)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5 83.68% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 16.32% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 54.1% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 45.9% (-0.01)

Red Bull Salzburg Goals

Over 0.5 69.27% (+0.32)
Under 0.5 30.73% (-0.32)
Over 1.5 33.01% (+0.38)
Under 1.5 66.99% (-0.38)

Score analysis

Benfica 52.2%
Draw 23.03%
Red Bull Salzburg 24.76%
Benfica
2-1 @ 9.72% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 9.09% (-0.10)
2-0 @ 8.24% (-0.09)
3-1 @ 5.88% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.98% (-0.06)
3-2 @ 3.47% (+0.03)
4-1 @ 2.66% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.26% (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.57% (+0.02)
Other @ 4.33%
Total : 52.2%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.72% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.74% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 5.02% (-0.06)
3-3 @ 1.36% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.03%
Red Bull Salzburg
1-2 @ 6.33% (+0.05)
0-1 @ 5.92% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.49% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.49% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 2.26% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 1.37% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 24.76%