Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 52.2%. A win for Red Bull Salzburg had a probability of 24.76% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.09%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Red Bull Salzburg win was 1-2 (6.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.