Austrian Bundesliga Gameweek 7
Sep 16, 2023 6.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Merkur Arena
  • Otar Kiteishvili 6' goal
  • Jusuf Gazibegovic 16' yellowcard
  • Christian Ilzer 45' yellowcard
  • Otar Kiteishvili 53' goal
  • Manprit Sarkaria 63' goal
  • Jon Gorenc Stankovic 71' yellowcard
  • Gregory Wuthrich 77' yellowcard
  • David Schnegg 77' yellowcard
  • Stefan Hierlander 85' yellowcard
  • Alexander Prass 90' yellowcard
  • goal Samson Baidoo 40'
  • yellowcard Karim Konate 45'+8'
  • goal Sekou Koita 73'
  • yellowcard Lucas Gourna-Douath 77'
  • yellowcard Amar Dedic 77'

Sturm Graz vs Red Bull Salzburg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sturm Graz

All competitions
Austrian Bundesliga
Last game
Sep 2, 2023 6.30pm
Rheindorf Altach 1 - 2 Sturm Graz
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Otar Kiteishvili

Red Bull Salzburg

All competitions
Austrian Bundesliga
Last game
Sep 3, 2023 4.00pm
Salzburg 2 - 0 Rapid Vienna
Goals scored
74
Top scorer
Karim Konate

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 44.07%. A win for Sturm Graz had a probability of 30.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest Sturm Graz win was 1-0 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result

Sturm Graz 30.45% (+0.10)
Draw 25.48% (-0.02)
Red Bull Salzburg 44.07% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.33% (+0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.68% (+0.12)
Under 2.5 49.33% (-0.12)
Over 3.5 28.62% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 71.38% (-0.11)
Over 4.5 13.73% (+0.07)
Under 4.5 86.27% (-0.08)

Sturm Graz Goals

Over 0.5 69.96% (+0.13)
Under 0.5 30.04% (-0.13)
Over 1.5 33.83% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 66.17% (-0.15)

Red Bull Salzburg Goals

Over 0.5 77.66% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 22.34% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 44.18% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 55.82% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Sturm Graz 30.45%
Draw 25.48%
Red Bull Salzburg 44.06%
Sturm Graz
1-0 @ 8.07% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 7.27% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 4.85% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 2.92% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.19% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 1.95% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 30.45%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.09% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.71% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.45% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.09% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.48%
Red Bull Salzburg
0-1 @ 10.05% (-0.05)
1-2 @ 9.07% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 7.54% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 4.53%
0-3 @ 3.77% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.72% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.7% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.41% (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.02% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 44.06%