Austrian Bundesliga | Gameweek 7
Sep 16, 2023 at 6.30pm UK
Merkur Arena
Red Bull Salzburg

Sturm Graz
2 - 2
Salzburg

Kiteishvili (6', 53'), Sarkaria (63')
Gazibegovic (16'), Ilzer (45'), Gorenc Stankovic (71'), Wuthrich (77'), Schnegg (77'), Hierlander (85'), Prass (90')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Baidoo (40'), Koita (73' pen.)
Konate (45+8'), Gourna-Douath (77'), Dedic (77')
Coverage of the Austrian Bundesliga clash between Sturm Graz and Red Bull Salzburg.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sturm Graz

All competitions
Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: Rheindorf Altach 1-2 Sturm Graz
Saturday, September 2 at 6.30pm in Austrian Bundesliga

Red Bull Salzburg

All competitions
Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: Salzburg 2-0 Rapid Vienna
Sunday, September 3 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 44.07%. A win for Sturm Graz had a probability of 30.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest Sturm Graz win was 1-0 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Sturm GrazDrawRed Bull Salzburg
30.45% (0.091000000000001 0.09)25.48% (-0.017999999999997 -0.02)44.07% (-0.073 -0.07)
Both teams to score 54.33% (0.105 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.68% (0.116 0.12)49.33% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.62% (0.105 0.11)71.38% (-0.104 -0.1)
Sturm Graz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.96% (0.122 0.12)30.04% (-0.123 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.83% (0.146 0.15)66.17% (-0.14700000000001 -0.15)
Red Bull Salzburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.66% (0.016000000000005 0.02)22.34% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.18% (0.024000000000001 0.02)55.82% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Sturm Graz 30.45%
    Red Bull Salzburg 44.06%
    Draw 25.48%
Sturm GrazDrawRed Bull Salzburg
1-0 @ 8.07% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.27% (0.018 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.85% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.92% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.19% (0.014 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.95% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 30.45%
1-1 @ 12.09% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.71% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.45% (0.016 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.48%
0-1 @ 10.05% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
1-2 @ 9.07% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 7.54% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-3 @ 4.53%
0-3 @ 3.77% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.72% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.7% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.41% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 1.02% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 44.06%

How you voted: Sturm Graz vs Salzburg

Sturm Graz
16.7%
Draw
25.0%
Red Bull Salzburg
58.3%
12