Primeira Liga Gameweek 7
Benfica
Sep 29, 2023 8.15pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Porto
  • Joao Neves 59' yellowcard
  • Angel di Maria 68' goal
  • Angel di Maria 69' yellowcard
  • David Jurasek 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Otamendi 90'+5' yellowcard
  • redcard Fabio Cardoso 19'
  • yellowcard David Carmo 34'
  • yellowcard Mehdi Taremi 35'
  • yellowcard Wendell 77'
  • yellowcard Jose Pedro da Silva Figueiredo Freitas 82'
  • yellowcard Sergio Conceicao 45'+45'
  • yellowcard Francisco Conceicao 90'+5'

Benfica vs Porto - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions
Last game
Sep 24, 2023 6.00pm
Portimonense 1 - 3 Benfica
Goals scored
77
Top scorer
Rafa Silva

Porto

All competitions
Last game
Sep 23, 2023 8.30pm
Porto 2 - 1 Gil Vicente
Goals scored
63
Top scorer
Evanilson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 41.58%. A win for Porto had a probability of 34.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.99%) and 2-0 (6.29%). The likeliest Porto win was 1-2 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result

Benfica 41.58% ▲ (+0.40)
Draw 24.29% ▼ (-0.09)
Porto 34.12% ▼ (-0.31)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.87% ▲ (+0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.26% ▲ (+0.35)
Under 2.5 42.73% ▼ (-0.35)
Over 3.5 34.86% ▲ (+0.34)
Under 3.5 65.13% ▼ (-0.35)
Over 4.5 18.16% ▲ (+0.26)
Under 4.5 81.83% ▼ (-0.26)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5 79.3% ▲ (+0.33)
Under 0.5 20.69% ▼ (-0.33)
Over 1.5 46.71% ▲ (+0.52)
Under 1.5 53.29% ▼ (-0.52)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5 75.49% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 24.51% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 41.03% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 1.5 58.97% ▲ (+0.03)

Score analysis

Benfica 41.58%
Draw 24.29%
Porto 34.12%
Benfica
2-1 @ 8.85% ▲ (+0.04)
1-0 @ 7.99% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 6.29% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 4.65% ▲ (+0.07)
3-0 @ 3.31% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 3.27% ▲ (+0.05)
4-1 @ 1.83% ▲ (+0.05)
4-0 @ 1.3% ▲ (+0.04)
4-2 @ 1.29% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 41.58%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.23% ▼ (-0.06)
2-2 @ 6.22% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 5.07% ▼ (-0.08)
3-3 @ 1.53% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.29%
Porto
1-2 @ 7.9% ▼ (-0.05)
0-1 @ 7.13% ▼ (-0.12)
0-2 @ 5.01% ▼ (-0.09)
1-3 @ 3.7% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.92% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.35% ▼ (-0.04)
1-4 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.03% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 34.12%

Head to Head

Portuguese Super Cup
Benfica
Aug 9, 2023 8.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Municipal de Aveiro
Porto
  • Mihailo Ristic 15' yellowcard
  • Joao Mario 16' yellowcard
  • Orkun Kokcu 27' yellowcard
  • Alexander Bah 43' yellowcard
  • Joao Neves 49' yellowcard
  • Angel di Maria 61' goal
  • Petar Musa 68' goal
  • Chiquinho 84' yellowcard
  • Odisseas Vlachodimos 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Danny Loader 29'
  • yellowcard Pepe 33'
  • yellowcard Pepe 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Stephen Eustaquio 51'
  • yellowcard Zaidu Sanusi 55'
  • redcard Pepe 90'
  • redcard Sergio Conceicao 90'+8'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 27
Benfica
Apr 7, 2023 6.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Porto
  • Diogo Costa 10' goal
  • goal Mateus Uribe 45'
  • goal Mehdi Taremi 54'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 10
Porto
Oct 21, 2022 8.15pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Do Dragão
Benfica
  • goal Rafa Silva 72'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 33
Benfica
May 7, 2022 6.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Porto
  • Gil Dias 16' yellowcard
  • Goncalo Ramos 24' yellowcard
  • Darwin Nunez 53' yellowcard
  • Valentino Lazaro 62' yellowcard
  • Andre Almeida 71' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Otamendi 71' yellowcard
  • Joao Mario 82' yellowcard
  • Julian Weigl 84' yellowcard
  • Roman Yaremchuk 90' yellowcard
  • Gilberto 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marko Grujic 30'
  • yellowcard Pepe 40'
  • yellowcard Mehdi Taremi 79'
  • yellowcard Diogo Costa 90'+1'
  • goal Zaidu Sanusi 90'+4'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 16
Porto
Dec 30, 2021 9.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT
Benfica
  • Fabio Cardoso 30' yellowcard
  • Fabio Vieira 34' goal
  • Pepe 37' goal
  • Pepe 51' yellowcard
  • Mehdi Taremi 69' goal
  • Toni Martinez 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Andre Almeida 8'
  • yellowcard Jan Vertonghen 25'
  • goal Roman Yaremchuk 46'
  • redcard Andre Almeida 49'
  • yellowcard Diogo Goncalves 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Gilberto 90'+5'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 31
Benfica
May 6, 2021 6.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Porto
  • Everton 23' goal
  • Julian Weigl 31' yellowcard
  • Lucas Verissimo 58' yellowcard
  • Rafa Silva 60' yellowcard
  • Helton Leite 71' yellowcard
  • Gabriel 81' yellowcard
  • Pizzi 81' yellowcard
  • Haris Seferovic 83' yellowcard
  • Diogo Goncalves 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sergio Oliveira 15'
  • yellowcard Pepe 64'
  • goal Mateus Uribe 75'
  • yellowcard Chancel Mbemba 81'

Form Data

Portimonense 1 - 3 Benfica
Benfica 0 - 2 Salzburg
Vizela 1 - 2 Benfica
Benfica 4 - 0 Guimaraes
Gil Vicente 2 - 3 Benfica
Benfica 2 - 0 Estrela Amadora
Porto 2 - 1 Gil Vicente
Shakhtar 1 - 3 Porto
Estrela Amadora 0 - 1 Porto
Porto 1 - 1 Arouca
Rio Ave 1 - 2 Porto
Porto 2 - 1 Farense