/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F12%2Fporlog_1.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F28%2Farolog.png)
-
Mehdi Taremi
12'
-
Fabio Cardoso
26'
-
Evanilson
57'
-
Alan Varela
58'
-
Evanilson
90'+19'
-
Ignacio De Arruabarrena
63'
-
Cristo
84'
-
Francisco Montero
85'
-
D. Ramos
90'+18'
Porto vs Arouca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F21%2Fporto.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 75.67%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 8.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.88%) and 3-0 (10.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.46%), while for an Arouca win it was 0-1 (3.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
Result
Porto
75.67%
▼
(-0.62)
Draw
15.68%
▲
(+0.38)
Arouca
8.65%
▲
(+0.25)
Both Teams to Score:
45.16%
▼
(-0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5
59.87%
▼
(-0.92)
Under 2.5
40.13%
▲
(+0.91)
Over 3.5
37.5%
▼
(-0.95)
Under 3.5
62.49%
▲
(+0.95)
Over 4.5
20.17%
▼
(-0.74)
Under 4.5
79.83%
▲
(+0.74)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5
91.06%
▼
(-0.37)
Under 0.5
8.94%
▲
(+0.37)
Over 1.5
69.47%
▼
(-0.89)
Under 1.5
30.53%
▲
(+0.89)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5
49.6%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 0.5
50.4%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 1.5
15.06%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 1.5
84.94%
▲
(+0.04)
Score analysis
Porto
75.66%
Draw
15.68%
Arouca
8.65%
Porto
2-0
@
13.13%
▲
(+0.12)
1-0 @ 10.88% ▲ (+0.29)
3-0 @ 10.57% ▼ (-0.09)
2-1 @ 9% ▲ (+0.07)
3-1 @ 7.24% ▼ (-0.08)
4-0 @ 6.38% ▼ (-0.17)
4-1 @ 4.37% ▼ (-0.13)
5-0 @ 3.08% ▼ (-0.14)
3-2 @ 2.48% ▼ (-0.03)
5-1 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.10)
4-2 @ 1.5% ▼ (-0.05)
6-0 @ 1.24% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 75.66%
1-0 @ 10.88% ▲ (+0.29)
3-0 @ 10.57% ▼ (-0.09)
2-1 @ 9% ▲ (+0.07)
3-1 @ 7.24% ▼ (-0.08)
4-0 @ 6.38% ▼ (-0.17)
4-1 @ 4.37% ▼ (-0.13)
5-0 @ 3.08% ▼ (-0.14)
3-2 @ 2.48% ▼ (-0.03)
5-1 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.10)
4-2 @ 1.5% ▼ (-0.05)
6-0 @ 1.24% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 75.66%
Draw
1-1
@
7.46%
▲
(+0.18)
0-0 @ 4.51% ▲ (+0.19)
2-2 @ 3.08% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 15.68%
0-0 @ 4.51% ▲ (+0.19)
2-2 @ 3.08% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 15.68%
Arouca
0-1
@
3.09%
▲
(+0.13)
1-2 @ 2.55% ▲ (+0.06)
0-2 @ 1.06% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 8.65%
1-2 @ 2.55% ▲ (+0.06)
0-2 @ 1.06% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 8.65%