Arouca
Benfica
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Tondela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Rio Ave
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 3
Aug 28, 2023 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
Porto

Rio Ave
1 - 2
Porto

Costinha (52' pen.)
Aderlan (16'), Oudrhiri (32'), Sa (56'), Pantalon (62'), Freire (77+77')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Galeno (90+1' pen.), Marcano (90+4')
Gonzalez (20'), Wendell (68'), Loader (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Rio Ave and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rio Ave

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 2-0 Rio Ave
Sunday, August 20 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Porto

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 2-1 Farense
Sunday, August 20 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 50.58%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.77%) and 1-2 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 1-0 (8.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Porto in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Porto.

Result
Rio AveDrawPorto
23.6% (0.117 0.12)25.82% (0.13 0.13)50.58% (-0.245 -0.24)
Both teams to score 48% (-0.242 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.97% (-0.381 -0.38)55.03% (0.384 0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.7% (-0.315 -0.31)76.3% (0.319 0.32)
Rio Ave Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.39% (-0.102 -0.1)38.61% (0.10599999999999 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.65% (-0.096 -0.1)75.36% (0.101 0.1)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.2% (-0.261 -0.26)21.8% (0.265 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.99% (-0.401 -0.4)55.01% (0.405 0.41)
Score Analysis
    Rio Ave 23.6%
    Porto 50.57%
    Draw 25.82%
Rio AveDrawPorto
1-0 @ 8.01% (0.095999999999999 0.1)
2-1 @ 5.81% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.81% (0.035 0.03)
3-1 @ 1.84% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 1.4% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.21% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 23.6%
1-1 @ 12.2% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 8.42% (0.125 0.13)
2-2 @ 4.42% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 25.82%
0-1 @ 12.82% (0.09 0.09)
0-2 @ 9.77% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.29% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
0-3 @ 4.96% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-3 @ 4.72% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.25% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.89% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.8% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 50.57%

How you voted: Rio Ave vs Porto

Rio Ave
20.5%
Draw
6.8%
Porto
72.6%
73
Head to Head
Feb 18, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 21
Porto
1-0
Rio Ave
Martinez (44')
> Preview
Aug 28, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 4
Rio Ave
3-1
Porto
Yakubu (22', 43'), Amaral (33')
Gomes (76')
Martinez (90+3')
Taremi (49'), Veron (85')
> Preview
Dec 15, 2021 9pm
Group Stage
Porto
1-0
Rio Ave
Pepe (83')
Costa (69')

Ukra (66')
May 15, 2021 8.30pm
Gameweek 33
Rio Ave
0-3
Porto

Borevkovic (31'), Amaral (83'), Gabrielzinho (86')
Martinez (56'), Diaz (59'), Oliveira (68')
Uribe (88')
> Preview
Feb 1, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 16
Porto
2-0
Rio Ave
Diaz (44'), Evanilson (74')
Uribe (78')

Jeronimo (38'), Pinto (72')
> Preview