Primeira Liga | Gameweek 2

Aug 20, 2023 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota

Estoril
2 - 0
Rio Ave

Mangala (55'), Marques (90+8')
Vital (5'), Araujo (75'), Holsgrove (77'), Marques (86')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Pantalon (21'), Boateng (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Rio Ave, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estoril Praia

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Arouca 4-3 Estoril
Sunday, August 13 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Rio Ave

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Rio Ave 2-0 Chaves
Sunday, August 13 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 39.12%. A win for Rio Ave had a probability of 34.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Rio Ave win was 0-1 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estoril Praia would win this match.

Result
Estoril Praia	Draw	Rio Ave
39.12% ( -0.32)	26.75% ( -0.32)	34.12% ( 0.64)

Both teams to score 51.5% (

1.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.46% (

1.36)

53.54% (

-1.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.95% (

1.14)

75.05% (

-1.14)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.27% (

0.46)

26.73% (

-0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38% (

0.6)

62% (

-0.6)

Rio Ave Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.29% (

1.1)

29.71% (

-1.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.23% (

1.31)

65.77% (

-1.31)

Score Analysis

Estoril Praia 39.12%

Rio Ave 34.12%

Draw 26.75%

Estoril Praia	Draw	Rio Ave
1-0 @ 10.47% ( -0.43) 2-1 @ 8.39% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.91% ( -0.19) 3-1 @ 3.69% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 3.04% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 2.16% Total : 39.12%	1-1 @ 12.71% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 7.94% ( -0.43) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.17) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.75%	0-1 @ 9.64% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 7.72% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 5.85% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.15) 0-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.13) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.42% Total : 34.12%