Arouca
Arouca
Benfica
Benfica
Boavista
Boavista
Braga
Braga
Casa Pia
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Moreirense
Nacional
Nacional
Porto
Porto
Rio Ave
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Moreirense
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 1
Aug 14, 2023 at 6.45pm UK
Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
Porto

Moreirense
1 - 2
Porto

Frimpong (51')
Manuel Barroso Valtelhas de Aguiar (0'), Ofori (62'), Pinto (76'), Silva (90+5'), Franco (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Martinez (67'), Wendell (74')
Mario (22'), Galeno (68'), Martinez (72'), Wendell (78'), Otavio (90+8'), Gonzalez (90+5')
Wendell (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Moreirense and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Moreirense

All competitions
Last Game: Moreirense 1-1 Farense (3-4 pen.)
Sunday, July 23 at 3.30pm in Taca da Liga

Porto

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Benfica 2-0 Porto
Wednesday, August 9 at 8.45pm in Portuguese Super Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 50.67%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 24.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.55%) and 0-2 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.74%), while for a Moreirense win it was 1-0 (7.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
MoreirenseDrawPorto
24.63% (1.219 1.22)24.7% (0.283 0.28)50.67% (-1.499 -1.5)
Both teams to score 52.37% (0.449 0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.19% (-0.055 -0.05)49.81% (0.058 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.19% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)71.81% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Moreirense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.19% (1.053 1.05)34.81% (-1.049 -1.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.46% (1.095 1.1)71.54% (-1.091 -1.09)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.34% (-0.617 -0.62)19.66% (0.62 0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.36% (-1.015 -1.02)51.64% (1.018 1.02)
Score Analysis
    Moreirense 24.63%
    Porto 50.67%
    Draw 24.7%
MoreirenseDrawPorto
1-0 @ 7.22% (0.22 0.22)
2-1 @ 6.2% (0.243 0.24)
2-0 @ 3.81% (0.22 0.22)
3-1 @ 2.18% (0.145 0.15)
3-2 @ 1.77% (0.085 0.09)
3-0 @ 1.34% (0.113 0.11)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 24.63%
1-1 @ 11.74% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 6.84% (0.016 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.04% (0.102 0.1)
3-3 @ 0.96% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.7%
0-1 @ 11.13% (-0.19 -0.19)
1-2 @ 9.55% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
0-2 @ 9.05% (-0.338 -0.34)
1-3 @ 5.18% (-0.146 -0.15)
0-3 @ 4.91% (-0.284 -0.28)
2-3 @ 2.73% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 2.11% (-0.102 -0.1)
0-4 @ 2% (-0.157 -0.16)
2-4 @ 1.11% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 50.67%

How you voted: Moreirense vs Porto

Moreirense
13.2%
Draw
13.2%
Porto
73.7%
38
Head to Head
Feb 20, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 23
Moreirense
0-1
Porto

Jorge (3'), Camara (4'), Silva (12'), Rosic (45+2'), Luis (68'), Vitoria (84'), Galego (90+3')
Vitoria (84')
Evanilson (40')
Uribe (34'), Cardoso (64'), Grujic (71')
Grujic (79')
> Preview
Sep 19, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 6
Porto
5-0
Moreirense
Taremi (34' pen., 71'), Diaz (51', 65'), Pepe (77')
Wendell (52'), Mario (80')

Camara (10'), Paulinho (32'), Silva (83')
> Preview
Apr 26, 2021 9.15pm
Gameweek 29
Moreirense
1-1
Porto
Ferraresi (37'), Taremi (86' pen.)
Pacheco (45'), Pepe (59'), Vieira (70'), Pasinato (73'), Martins (74'), Uribe (75'), Taremi (81')
> Preview
Jan 3, 2021 9pm
Gameweek 12
Porto
3-0
Moreirense
Oliveira (22' pen.), Martinez (88'), Evanilson (90+1')
Corona (30'), Martinez (82')
> Preview
Jul 20, 2020 9.15pm
Gameweek 33
Porto
6-1
Moreirense
Diaz (4'), Otavio (51'), Telles (53' pen.), Marega (62'), Tiquinho (78', 87')
Marega (32')
Abreu (20')
Pasinato (53')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CSporting Lisbon34257288276182
2Benfica34255484285680
3Porto34225765303571
4Braga34199655302566
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara34176113632457
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes341412847371054
7FamalicaoFamalicao341211114439547
8Estoril PraiaEstoril341210124853-546
9Casa Pia34129133944-545
10MoreirenseMoreirense341010144250-840
11AroucaArouca34911143549-1438
12Rio AveRio Ave34911143955-1638
13Gil Vicente34810163447-1334
14Nacional3497183250-1834
15Estrela Amadora3478192450-2629
RSC FarenseFarense3469192546-2127
17AVS34512172560-3527
RBoavistaBoavista3466222459-3524
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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