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Moreirense
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 23
Feb 20, 2022 at 8pm UK
Parque Joaquim Almeida Freitas
Porto

Moreirense
0 - 1
Porto


Jorge (3'), Camara (4'), Silva (12'), Rosic (45+2'), Luis (68'), Vitoria (84'), Galego (90+3')
Vitoria (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Evanilson (40')
Uribe (34'), Cardoso (64'), Grujic (71')
Grujic (79')

Preview: Moreirense vs. Porto - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Moreirense and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Off the back of a Europa League victory over Italian outfit Lazio, Porto resume their charge for the Primeira Liga title as they visit the Parque de Jogos Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas to face Moreirense on Sunday.

The visitors, on the other hand, were on the receiving end of a 5-0 thrashing at the hands of Famalicao last time out and will be looking to quickly bounce back from that result.


Match preview

Porto's Antonio Martinez celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on February 17, 2022© Reuters

Moreirense were sent crashing back down to earth in the Primeira Liga when they were thrashed 5-0 by fellow strugglers Famalicao at the Estadio Municipal de Famalicao last Sunday.

Pepe, Simon Banza, Adrian Marin and Joao Carlos Teixeira all scored to hand the hosts a commanding four-goal lead heading into the half-time break before Ivan Dolcek put the icing on the cake with his 69th-minute strike.

This followed a 4-1 victory over 10-man Belenenses when the sides met at the Parque de Jogos Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas on February 7 which saw their three-game winless run come to an end.

With 19 points from 22 games, Os verdes e brancos are currently 16th in the Primeira Liga standings, four points above rock-bottom Belenenses and one below Tondela just outside the relegation zone.

Their poor performances this season has been owing to their struggles on the road where they have managed just one win from 12 games and currently boast the division's fourth-worst record with seven points so far.

While Moreirense will look to bounce back from their defeat against the Vila Nova, next up is an opposing side who are unbeaten in each of the last 11 meetings between the sides since 2017, claiming eight wins and three draws in that time.

Moreirense players celebrate after Benfica's Gilberto scored an own goal and the first for them on January 15, 2022© Reuters

Meanwhile, Porto kicked off their Europa League campaign on winning note as they came from behind see off Lazio 2-1 on home turf last time out.

In a thrilling contest at the Estadio do Dragao, Mattia Zaccagni put the Italian side ahead in the 23rd minute, but Toni Martinez came up trumps for the Dragoes as he struck twice to turn the game on its head.

They now turn their sights to the Primeira Liga where they saw their 11-game winning streak come to an end courtesy of a 2-2 draw with rivals and defending champions Sporting Lisbon last February.

Porto head into the weekend unbeaten in each of their last 13 games across all competitions, claiming 12 wins and one draw since December's 3-1 loss against Atletico Madrid in Group B of the Champions League.

With 60 points from 22 games, Sergio Conceicao's men, who are the only unbeaten side in the Primeira Liga this season, are currently top of the league table with a healthy six-point lead over second-placed Sporting Lisbon.

Moreirense Primeira Liga form:
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • L

Porto Primeira Liga form:
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • D

Porto form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • W


Team News

Porto coach Sergio Conceicao on February 17, 2022© Reuters

Porto will take to the pitch without the services of Wilson Manafa, who has been out of action since sustaining a leg injury in the game against Benfica on December 31.

Martinez put on a clinic in the game against Lazio last time out and the 24-year-old forward could be rewarded with his fifth league start of the season.

Meanwhile, barring any late fitness issues, Moreirense head into Sunday's game with a clean bill of health and no suspension concerns, giving Sa Pinto the luxury of a full strength squad at his disposal.

Despite their defeat against Famalicao last time out, Andre Luis was a bright spark for Os verdes e brancos and we expect the Brazilian forward to lead the attack once again.

Moreirense possible starting lineup:
D Costa; B Costa, Cardoso, Mbemba, Wendell; Vitinha, Uribe, Grujic, Pepe; Evanlison, Martinez

Porto possible starting lineup:
Kewin; Rosic, Santos, Jorge; Mota, Camara, Mirallas, Amador; Santos, Luis, Martins


SM words green background

We say: Moreirense 0-3 Porto

Porto head into Sunday's game as one of the most in-form sides in the Primeira Liga and will fancy their chances against an opposing side who they are unbeaten against since 2017. Looking at the gulf in quality and experience between the two teams, we are tipping the visitors to ease to all three points on Sunday.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 2.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 74.2%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 9.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.62%) and 0-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.47%), while for a Moreirense win it was 1-0 (3.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Moreirense vs Porto

Moreirense
11.5%
Draw
19.2%
Porto
69.2%
26
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rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon25212275255065
2Benfica26204260213964
3Porto26184450183258
4Braga26165555342153
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes26155641271450
6MoreirenseMoreirense2612682827142
7AroucaArouca26104124337634
8FamalicaoFamalicao2561092430-628
9Gil Vicente2677123539-428
10BoavistaBoavista2677123351-1828
11Casa Pia2676132339-1627
12SC FarenseFarense2676133438-427
13Estrela Amadora2668122639-1326
14Estoril PraiaEstoril2674154249-725
15Rio AveRio Ave2641392635-925
16PortimonensePortimonense2665152453-2923
17Vizela2649132652-2621
18ChavesChaves2647152556-3119


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