Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Sep 19, 2023 at 8pm UK

Imtech Arena

Shakhtar
1 - 3
Porto

Kelsy (13')
Sikan (6'), Stepanenko (31'), Konoplya (76')

FT(HT: 1-3)

Galeno (8', 15'), Taremi (29')
Carmo (4'), Mario (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Shakhtar Donetsk and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shakhtar Donetsk

All competitions

Last Game: Shakhtar 1-0 Obolon
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Goals
for

Porto

All competitions

Last Game: Estrela Amadora 0-1 Porto
Friday, September 15 at 7.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 56.3%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 21.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.9%) and 0-2 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Shakhtar Donetsk win it was 1-0 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
Shakhtar Donetsk	Draw	Porto
21.19% ( -0.1)	22.5% ( -0.01)	56.3% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 55.17% (

-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.96% (

-0.09)

44.04% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.58% (

-0.09)

66.42% (

0.09)

Shakhtar Donetsk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.26% (

-0.15)

34.74% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.53% (

-0.16)

71.47% (

0.16)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.54% (

15.46% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.68% (

0.01)

44.32% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Shakhtar Donetsk 21.19%

Porto 56.29%

Draw 22.5%

Shakhtar Donetsk	Draw	Porto
1-0 @ 5.68% 2-1 @ 5.6% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 3% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.98% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.03% Total : 21.19%	1-1 @ 10.6% 0-0 @ 5.37% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.5%	0-1 @ 10.02% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9.9% ( 0) 0-2 @ 9.36% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 6.16% ( 0) 0-3 @ 5.83% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 3.26% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.88% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.72% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.52% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.07% 0-5 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 2.58% Total : 56.29%