Arouca
Benfica
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Tondela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Estrela Amadora
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 5
Sep 15, 2023 at 7.15pm UK
Estadio Jose Gomes da Costa
Porto

Estrela Amadora
0 - 1
Porto


Gaspar (10'), Jaba (17'), Genezio (52'), Vieira (62')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Taremi (29')
Wendell (45+1'), Pepe (48'), Borges (56'), Franco (67'), Carmo (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Estrela Amadora and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estrela Amadora

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Portimonense 1-1 Estrela Amadora
Saturday, September 2 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Porto

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 1-1 Arouca
Sunday, September 3 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 68.7%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 11.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13%) and 1-2 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.21%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 1-0 (4.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
Estrela AmadoraDrawPorto
11.8% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)19.49% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)68.7% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Both teams to score 44.21%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)47.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.85% (0.0019999999999989 0)70.15% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Estrela Amadora Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.75% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)49.25% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.87%84.13%
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.11% (0.0020000000000095 0)12.89% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.7% (0.0020000000000024 0)39.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Estrela Amadora 11.8%
    Porto 68.69%
    Draw 19.5%
Estrela AmadoraDrawPorto
1-0 @ 4.5% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-1 @ 3.26%
2-0 @ 1.59%
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 11.8%
1-1 @ 9.21%
0-0 @ 6.35% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 3.34%
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 19.5%
0-2 @ 13.32%
0-1 @ 13%
1-2 @ 9.44%
0-3 @ 9.1% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 6.44%
0-4 @ 4.66% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-4 @ 3.3%
2-3 @ 2.28%
0-5 @ 1.91% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-5 @ 1.35%
2-4 @ 1.17%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 68.69%

How you voted: Estrela Amadora vs Porto

Estrela Amadora
14.5%
Draw
5.5%
Porto
80.0%
55