Primeira Liga Gameweek 5
Sep 15, 2023 7.15pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Jose Gomes da Costa
  • Kialonda Gaspar 10' yellowcard
  • Leo Jaba 17' yellowcard
  • Aloisio Genezio 52' yellowcard
  • S. Vieira 62' yellowcard
  • goal Mehdi Taremi 29'
  • yellowcard Wendell 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Pepe 48'
  • yellowcard Goncalo Borges 56'
  • yellowcard Andre Franco 67'
  • yellowcard David Carmo 90'+1'

Estrela Amadora vs Porto - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Estrela Amadora

All competitions
Last game
Sep 2, 2023 6.00pm
Portimonense 1 - 1 Estrela Amadora
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Kikas

Porto

All competitions
Last game
Sep 3, 2023 6.00pm
Porto 1 - 1 Arouca
Goals scored
63
Top scorer
Evanilson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 68.7%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 11.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13%) and 1-2 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.21%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 1-0 (4.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result

Estrela Amadora 11.8% (-0.01)
Draw 19.49% (-0.01)
Porto 68.7% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.21%

Goals

Over 2.5 52.02% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 47.98% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 29.85% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 70.15% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 14.57% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 85.43% (-0.01)

Estrela Amadora Goals

Over 0.5 50.75% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 49.25% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 15.87%
Under 1.5 84.13%

Porto Goals

Over 0.5 87.11% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 12.89% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 60.7% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 39.3% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Estrela Amadora 11.8%
Draw 19.5%
Porto 68.69%
Estrela Amadora
1-0 @ 4.5% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 3.26%
2-0 @ 1.59%
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 11.8%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.21%
0-0 @ 6.35% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 3.34%
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 19.5%
Porto
0-2 @ 13.32%
0-1 @ 13%
1-2 @ 9.44%
0-3 @ 9.1% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 6.44%
0-4 @ 4.66% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 3.3%
2-3 @ 2.28%
0-5 @ 1.91% (+0.01)
1-5 @ 1.35%
2-4 @ 1.17%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 68.69%