Primeira Liga | Gameweek 3

Aug 25, 2023 at 8.15pm UK

Estadio Jose Gomes

Estrela Amadora
2 - 1
Estoril

Tavares (47'), Cordeiro (90+10')
Pereira Martins (87')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Marques (67')
Holsgrove (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Estrela Amadora and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estrela Amadora

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Benfica 2-0 Estrela Amadora
Saturday, August 19 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Estoril Praia

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Estoril 2-0 Rio Ave
Sunday, August 20 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estrela Amadora win with a probability of 41.85%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 31.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estrela Amadora win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 0-1 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estrela Amadora would win this match.

Result
Estrela Amadora	Draw	Estoril Praia
41.85% ( 0.05)	27.07% ( -0.02)	31.07% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 49.63% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.49% (

0.05)

55.51% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.31% (

0.05)

76.69% (

-0.05)

Estrela Amadora Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.83% (

0.05)

26.17% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.74% (

0.07)

61.26% (

-0.07)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.23% (

32.77% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.67% (

69.33% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Estrela Amadora 41.84%

Estoril Praia 31.07%

Draw 27.07%

Estrela Amadora	Draw	Estoril Praia
1-0 @ 11.49% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.6% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.71% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.84% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.44% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 2.18% Total : 41.84%	1-1 @ 12.82% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.58% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.07%	0-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.15% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.66% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.99% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( 0) Other @ 2.59% Total : 31.07%