Primeira Liga | Gameweek 4

Sep 2, 2023 at 6pm UK

Estadio Municipal de Portimao

Portimonense
1 - 1
Estrela Amadora

Dener (38')
Mauricio (16'), Pedrao (66'), Dener (74')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Pereira Martins (14')
Genezio (10'), Vieira (11'), Tavares (24'), Ndour (73'), Omorwa (77'), Pereira Martins (80'), Kikas (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Portimonense and Estrela Amadora, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portimonense

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Arouca 1-1 Portimonense
Saturday, August 26 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Estrela Amadora

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Estrela Amadora 2-1 Estoril
Friday, August 25 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 50.07%. A win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 25.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest Estrela Amadora win was 0-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
Portimonense	Draw	Estrela Amadora
50.07% ( -0.41)	24.81% ( 0.12)	25.11% ( 0.28)

Both teams to score 52.52% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.14% (

-0.27)

49.85% (

0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.15% (

-0.24)

71.85% (

0.24)

Portimonense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.07% (

-0.27)

19.92% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.93% (

-0.44)

52.06% (

0.44)

Estrela Amadora Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.58% (

0.09)

34.41% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.87% (

0.1)

71.12% (

-0.1)

Score Analysis

Portimonense 50.07%

Estrela Amadora 25.11%

Draw 24.8%

Portimonense	Draw	Estrela Amadora
1-0 @ 11.06% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.92% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 5.12% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 4.8% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.07% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.94% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.82% Total : 50.07%	1-1 @ 11.79% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.86% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.8%	0-1 @ 7.31% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 6.29% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 3.9% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.81% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.17% Total : 25.11%