Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 44.01%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 29.16% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (8.19%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 1-0 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Boavista would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Portimonense | Draw | Boavista |
| 29.16% ( | 26.83% ( | 44.01% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.45% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.68% ( | 55.32% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.47% ( | 76.53% ( |
| Portimonense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.92% ( | 34.08% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.23% ( | 70.77% ( |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.03% ( | 24.97% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.38% ( | 59.62% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Portimonense | Draw | Boavista |
| 1-0 @ 9.16% ( 2-1 @ 6.84% ( 2-0 @ 4.93% ( 3-1 @ 2.46% ( 3-0 @ 1.77% ( 3-2 @ 1.7% ( Other @ 2.3% Total : 29.16% | 1-1 @ 12.71% ( 0-0 @ 8.51% ( 2-2 @ 4.75% ( Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.83% | 0-1 @ 11.8% ( 1-2 @ 8.82% ( 0-2 @ 8.19% ( 1-3 @ 4.08% ( 0-3 @ 3.79% ( 2-3 @ 2.19% ( 1-4 @ 1.41% ( 0-4 @ 1.31% ( Other @ 2.4% Total : 44% |