Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 4
Aug 20, 2023 at 5.10pm UK
Stadion Shakhty Zhovtneva
Shakhtar Donetsk

Kryvbas Kryvyi
3 - 3
Shakhtar

Khomchenovskiy (24'), Kozhushko (44'), Beskorovainyi (64')
Khomchenovskiy (10'), Beskorovainyi (32'), Kozhushko (33'), Ponedelnik (87'), Bliznichenko (90+7')
FT(HT: 2-3)
Kashchuk (8'), Kryskiv (18', 42')
Topalov (36'), Chygrynskiy (90+1')
Bondarenko (85'), Chygrynskiy (90+5')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih and Shakhtar Donetsk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kryvbas Kryvyi 2-0 Cherkasy
Sunday, August 13 at 3.45pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 41.42%. A win for Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih had a probability of 34.67% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.49%) and 0-2 (6.04%). The likeliest Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih win was 2-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
Kryvbas Kryvyi RihDrawShakhtar Donetsk
34.67% (-0.214 -0.21)23.91% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)41.42% (0.22 0.22)
Both teams to score 61.4% (-0.023999999999994 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.2% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)40.79% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.82% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)63.18% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.7% (-0.12100000000001 -0.12)23.3% (0.12 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.76% (-0.178 -0.18)57.24% (0.176 0.18)
Shakhtar Donetsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.05% (0.093999999999994 0.09)19.95% (-0.096 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.89% (0.152 0.15)52.1% (-0.153 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih 34.67%
    Shakhtar Donetsk 41.42%
    Draw 23.91%
Kryvbas Kryvyi RihDrawShakhtar Donetsk
2-1 @ 7.95% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-0 @ 6.77% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.93% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.86% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.11% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.4% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.41% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.13% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 34.67%
1-1 @ 10.91%
2-2 @ 6.41% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 4.65% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.67% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.91%
1-2 @ 8.8% (0.025 0.03)
0-1 @ 7.49% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.04% (0.038 0.04)
1-3 @ 4.73% (0.027 0.03)
2-3 @ 3.44% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.25% (0.03 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.91% (0.017 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.39% (0.008 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.31% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 41.42%

Head to Head
Mar 12, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 17
Kryvbas Kryvyi
0-3
Shakhtar
Sudakov (58'), Kelsy (80'), Shved (84')
Aug 28, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 2
Shakhtar
1-0
Kryvbas Kryvyi

Tatarkov (49'), (56')
Tatarkov (74')