Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih win with a probability of 53.89%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Metalist Kharkiv had a probability of 20.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.81%) and 1-2 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a Metalist Kharkiv win it was 1-0 (7.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih would win this match.