Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 27
May 21, 2023 at 1pm UK
Oblasny SportKomplex Metalist
Metal Kharkiv

Metalist Kharkiv
2 - 0
Metal Kharkiv

Bezuglyy (58'), Chyruk (68')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Metalist Kharkiv and Metal Kharkiv.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Veres 1-0 Metalist Kharkiv
Sunday, May 14 at 12pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Metal Kharkiv 0-5 Luhansk
Sunday, May 14 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metal Kharkiv win with a probability of 38.5%. A win for Metalist Kharkiv had a probability of 35.18% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Metal Kharkiv win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Metalist Kharkiv win was 1-0 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Metalist KharkivDrawMetal Kharkiv
35.18% (0.807 0.81)26.32% (0.182 0.18)38.5% (-0.987 -0.99)
Both teams to score 53.05% (-0.472 -0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.37% (-0.658 -0.66)51.63% (0.659 0.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.58% (-0.575 -0.57)73.41% (0.57600000000001 0.58)
Metalist Kharkiv Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.88% (0.17700000000001 0.18)28.12% (-0.176 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.21% (0.224 0.22)63.79% (-0.223 -0.22)
Metal Kharkiv Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.8% (-0.84 -0.84)26.19% (0.841 0.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.71% (-1.138 -1.14)61.28% (1.14 1.14)
Score Analysis
    Metalist Kharkiv 35.18%
    Metal Kharkiv 38.5%
    Draw 26.31%
Metalist KharkivDrawMetal Kharkiv
1-0 @ 9.34% (0.288 0.29)
2-1 @ 7.94% (0.096 0.1)
2-0 @ 5.93% (0.211 0.21)
3-1 @ 3.36% (0.057 0.06)
3-0 @ 2.51% (0.101 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.25% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.07% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 35.18%
1-1 @ 12.51% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 7.36% (0.192 0.19)
2-2 @ 5.32% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.31%
0-1 @ 9.87% (0.023 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.39% (-0.142 -0.14)
0-2 @ 6.61% (-0.145 -0.15)
1-3 @ 3.75% (-0.156 -0.16)
0-3 @ 2.95% (-0.138 -0.14)
2-3 @ 2.38% (-0.087 -0.09)
1-4 @ 1.25% (-0.084 -0.08)
0-4 @ 0.99% (-0.072 -0.07)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 38.5%

Head to Head
Nov 8, 2022 11am
gameweek 12
Metal Kharkiv
0-0
Metalist Kharkiv

Kaplienko (22')
rhs 2.0


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