Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metalist Kharkiv win with a probability of 43.75%. A win for FC Lviv had a probability of 29.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metalist Kharkiv win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (8.1%). The likeliest FC Lviv win was 1-0 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Metalist Kharkiv would win this match.