Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metalist Kharkiv win with a probability of 44.01%. A win for Chornomorets Odesa had a probability of 29.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metalist Kharkiv win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (8.17%). The likeliest Chornomorets Odesa win was 1-0 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.