Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 14
Dec 7, 2022 at 11am UK
Stadion im. Bohdan Markevycha

Rukh Lviv
2 - 2
Chornomorets

Runich (62'), Karabin (84')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Yusov (25', 35')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Rukh Lviv and Chornomorets Odesa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oleksandriya 1-1 Rukh Lviv
Monday, November 28 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Chornomorets 0-1 Kryvbas Kryvyi
Friday, December 2 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rukh Lviv win with a probability of 38.22%. A win for Chornomorets Odesa had a probability of 34.35% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rukh Lviv win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Chornomorets Odesa win was 0-1 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Rukh LvivDrawChornomorets Odesa
38.22% (0.089999999999996 0.09)27.43% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03)34.35% (-0.065000000000005 -0.07)
Both teams to score 49.42% (0.064 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.82% (0.088999999999999 0.09)56.18% (-0.086000000000006 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.76% (0.071000000000002 0.07)77.24% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Rukh Lviv Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.5% (0.094000000000008 0.09)28.5% (-0.093 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.73% (0.119 0.12)64.27% (-0.116 -0.12)
Chornomorets Odesa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.12%30.88% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.83% (0.00099999999999767 0)67.17% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Rukh Lviv 38.22%
    Chornomorets Odesa 34.35%
    Draw 27.43%
Rukh LvivDrawChornomorets Odesa
1-0 @ 11.04% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.15% (0.016 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.93% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.41% (0.015 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.9% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 2% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.07% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.91% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 38.22%
1-1 @ 12.98% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.8% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.79% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.43%
0-1 @ 10.34% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.63% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 6.08% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.99% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 2.38% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.88% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 34.35%

Head to Head
Nov 6, 2021 5.30pm
Chornomorets
4-3
Rukh Lviv
Vanat (30'), Avagimian (38'), Tsitaishvili (57'), Tlumak (83')
Kucheruk (53'), Vanat (64')
Martynyuk (67'), Fedorchuk (71', 79')
Martynyuk (40'), Sych (42'), Mysyk (83')