Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 57.35%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for FC Lviv had a probability of 18.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.06%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a FC Lviv win it was 0-1 (6.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zorya Luhansk would win this match.