Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 14
Nov 18, 2022 at 11am UK
Slavutych-Arena
Oleksandriya

Luhansk
4 - 1
Oleksandriya

Butko (62', 70'), Buletsa (68'), Antyukh (76')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Rybalka (78')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Zorya Luhansk and FC Oleksandriya.

Form, Standings, Stats

Zorya Luhansk

All competitions
Last Game: Shakhtar 2-2 Luhansk
Sunday, November 13 at 1pm in Ukrainian Premier League

FC Oleksandriya

All competitions
Last Game: Oleksandriya 3-2 Veres
Sunday, November 13 at 12.35pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 50.65%. A win for FC Oleksandriya had a probability of 26.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest FC Oleksandriya win was 1-2 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zorya Luhansk would win this match.

Result
Zorya LuhanskDrawFC Oleksandriya
50.65% (-0.498 -0.5)23.14% (0.074000000000002 0.07)26.21% (0.428 0.43)
Both teams to score 59.13% (0.167 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.38% (0.033000000000001 0.03)41.62% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.98% (0.033999999999999 0.03)64.02% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Zorya Luhansk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.44% (-0.167 -0.17)16.56% (0.171 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.67% (-0.303 -0.3)46.33% (0.306 0.31)
FC Oleksandriya Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.86% (0.34399999999999 0.34)29.14% (-0.34 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.93% (0.421 0.42)65.07% (-0.417 -0.42)
Score Analysis
    Zorya Luhansk 50.65%
    FC Oleksandriya 26.21%
    Draw 23.13%
Zorya LuhanskDrawFC Oleksandriya
2-1 @ 9.62% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-0 @ 8.68% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-0 @ 7.8% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-1 @ 5.77% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-0 @ 4.68% (-0.087000000000001 -0.09)
3-2 @ 3.56% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 2.59% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.1% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.6% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.93% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 50.65%
1-1 @ 10.69% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.93% (0.036 0.04)
0-0 @ 4.82% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.46% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.13%
1-2 @ 6.6% (0.078 0.08)
0-1 @ 5.95% (0.048 0.05)
0-2 @ 3.67% (0.064 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.71% (0.057 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.44% (0.038 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.51% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 26.21%

How you voted: Luhansk vs Oleksandriya

Zorya Luhansk
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
FC Oleksandriya
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Nov 29, 2021 5.30pm
Oleksandriya
0-1
Luhansk

Tretyakov (57'), Dryshliuk (65')
Imerekov (16')
Sayyadmanesh (58'), Juninho (70')
Jul 25, 2021 5.30pm
Luhansk
0-1
Oleksandriya

Imerekov (79'), Kochergin (90+4'), Hladkyy (90+5')
Kaliuzhnyi (40')
Bilyk (64'), Baboglo (90+5')
May 9, 2021 12pm
Luhansk
2-1
Oleksandriya
Hladkyy (63'), Alefirenko (73')
Rufati (33'), Zahedi (80')
Novikov (86')
Kovalets (27'), Grechyshkin (45'), Melnyk (50')
Dec 13, 2020 5.30pm
Oleksandriya
0-2
Luhansk

Dovgiy (35'), Sitalo (61'), Bezborodko (82')
Bezborodko (84')
Ivanisenya (31'), Sayyadmanesh (90+6')
Kabaiev (3'), Hladkyy (4'), Abu Hanna (8'), Ivanisenya (84')
Kabaiev (50')
Jul 5, 2020 5.30pm
Luhansk
2-2
Oleksandriya
Khomchenovskiy (45'), Yurchenko (54' pen.)
Cheberko (16'), Abu Hanna (76')
Luchkevych (19'), Tretyakov (76' pen.)
Bezborodko (14'), Banada (67'), Pankiv (90+4')