Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 57.02%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Kolos Kovalivka had a probability of 20.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a Kolos Kovalivka win it was 0-1 (5.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.