Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vorskla Poltava win with a probability of 40.1%. A win for Kolos Kovalivka had a probability of 32.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vorskla Poltava win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest Kolos Kovalivka win was 1-0 (10.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vorskla Poltava would win this match.