Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 78.84%. A draw had a probability of 14.2% and a win for FC Lviv had a probability of 7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.56%) and 1-0 (10.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.73%), while for a FC Lviv win it was 0-1 (2.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Shakhtar Donetsk in this match.