Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 57.16%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Metal Kharkiv had a probability of 20.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Metal Kharkiv win it was 0-1 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Shakhtar Donetsk in this match.