Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metal Kharkiv win with a probability of 43.44%. A win for Inhulets had a probability of 29.02% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metal Kharkiv win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (8.32%). The likeliest Inhulets win was 1-0 (9.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.