Shakhtar Donetsk
Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 18
Mar 19, 2023 at 1pm UK
Oblasny SportKomplex Metalist

Shakhtar
2 - 0
Rukh Lviv

Matviyenko (27'), Kryskiv (31')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Shakhtar Donetsk and Rukh Lviv.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shakhtar Donetsk

All competitions
Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Feyenoord 7-1 Shakhtar
Thursday, March 16 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Rukh Lviv

All competitions
Last Game: Rukh Lviv 0-1 Kovalivka
Sunday, March 12 at 1pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 56.91%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Rukh Lviv had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for a Rukh Lviv win it was 0-1 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.

Result
Shakhtar DonetskDrawRukh Lviv
56.91% (0.599 0.6)22.49% (-0.309 -0.31)20.6% (-0.284 -0.28)
Both teams to score 54.31% (0.585 0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.26% (0.986 0.99)44.75% (-0.982 -0.98)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.9% (0.945 0.94)67.11% (-0.938 -0.94)
Shakhtar Donetsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.51% (0.54899999999999 0.55)15.5% (-0.544 -0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.61% (1.009 1.01)44.4% (-1.002 -1)
Rukh Lviv Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.27% (0.279 0.28)35.73% (-0.272 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.5% (0.286 0.29)72.5% (-0.28 -0.28)
Score Analysis
    Shakhtar Donetsk 56.91%
    Rukh Lviv 20.6%
    Draw 22.48%
Shakhtar DonetskDrawRukh Lviv
1-0 @ 10.32% (-0.24 -0.24)
2-1 @ 9.91% (0.026 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.63% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
3-1 @ 6.16% (0.13 0.13)
3-0 @ 5.98% (0.083 0.08)
3-2 @ 3.17% (0.09 0.09)
4-1 @ 2.87% (0.112 0.11)
4-0 @ 2.79% (0.089 0.09)
4-2 @ 1.48% (0.068 0.07)
5-1 @ 1.07% (0.061 0.06)
5-0 @ 1.04% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 56.91%
1-1 @ 10.62% (-0.17 -0.17)
0-0 @ 5.54% (-0.238 -0.24)
2-2 @ 5.1% (0.051 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.48%
0-1 @ 5.7% (-0.201 -0.2)
1-2 @ 5.47% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-2 @ 2.93% (-0.081 -0.08)
1-3 @ 1.88% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.75% (0.031 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.01% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 20.6%

Head to Head
Sep 2, 2022 3pm
Rukh Lviv
0-1
Shakhtar
Konoplya (79')
Bondarenko (20'), Konoplya (65')
Mudryk (35')
May 21, 2022 1am
Rukh Lviv
0-0
Shakhtar
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Shakhtar
2-0
Rukh Lviv
Antonio (86'), Tete (88')

Didyk (40'), Boychuk (59'), Alvarenga (64')
Feb 21, 2021 3pm
Shakhtar
2-0
Rukh Lviv
Tete (9'), Maycon (60' pen.)
Vitao (32'), Dodo (39'), Patrick (55')

Kukharevych (5'), Prytula (49'), Karasyuk (59'), Varfolomieiev (90')
Bandura (90+6')
Sep 23, 2020 5pm
Rukh Lviv
1-1
Shakhtar
Stepanenko (47' og.)
Brikner (42'), Kukharuk (43'), Kukharevych (51'), Martynyuk (53'), Gliha (87'), Boychuk (90+4'), Duts (90+5')
Marlos (67')
Bondar (35'), Patrick (54'), Stepanenko (70')
Bondar (50')