Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 26

May 14, 2023 at 11am UK

Metal Kharkiv
0 - 5
Luhansk

FT(HT: 0-4)

Mizyuk (1' og.), Guerrero (10'), Shakhov (21'), Imerekov (27'), Brazhko (85' pen.)

Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Metal Kharkiv and Zorya Luhansk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Metal Kharkiv

All competitions

Last Game: Metal Kharkiv 1-0 Lviv
Sunday, May 7 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League

Goals
for

Zorya Luhansk

All competitions

Last Game: Luhansk 3-0 Metalist Kharkiv
Monday, May 8 at 3pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 53.54%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Metal Kharkiv had a probability of 22.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.76%) and 1-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a Metal Kharkiv win it was 1-0 (6.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zorya Luhansk would win this match.

Result
Metal Kharkiv	Draw	Zorya Luhansk
22.25% ( -0.2)	24.21% ( -0.06)	53.54% ( 0.26)

Both teams to score 51.19% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.96% (

0.06)

50.03% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.99% (

0.05)

72.01% (

-0.05)

Metal Kharkiv Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.9% (

-0.15)

37.09% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.12% (

-0.16)

73.88% (

0.16)

Zorya Luhansk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.38% (

0.12)

18.62% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.08% (

0.21)

49.91% (

-0.21)

Score Analysis

Metal Kharkiv 22.25%

Zorya Luhansk 53.53%

Draw 24.2%

Metal Kharkiv	Draw	Zorya Luhansk
1-0 @ 6.85% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 5.71% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 3.4% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 1.89% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.7% Total : 22.25%	1-1 @ 11.51% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.91% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.99% Total : 24.2%	0-1 @ 11.6% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 9.76% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 9.68% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 5.47% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 5.42% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.69% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.3% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 2.28% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 3.21% Total : 53.53%