Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 53.54%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Metal Kharkiv had a probability of 22.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.76%) and 1-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a Metal Kharkiv win it was 1-0 (6.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zorya Luhansk would win this match.