Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 41.18%. A win for Kolos Kovalivka had a probability of 31.35% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (7.68%). The likeliest Kolos Kovalivka win was 1-0 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Zorya Luhansk in this match.