Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kolos Kovalivka win with a probability of 36.57%. A win for Inhulets had a probability of 36.27% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kolos Kovalivka win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Inhulets win was 1-0 (10.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Kolos Kovalivka in this match.