Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 18
Mar 19, 2023 at 11am UK
Inhulets Stadium

Inhulets
1 - 2
Chornomorets

GolovkÑ–n (83')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Hadida (2' pen.), Alefirenko (40')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Inhulets and Chornomorets Odesa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Inhulets

All competitions
Last Game: Inhulets 2-1 Metal Kharkiv
Saturday, March 11 at 12pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Chornomorets Odesa

All competitions
Last Game: Chornomorets 1-1 Metalist Kharkiv
Saturday, March 11 at 1pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chornomorets Odesa win with a probability of 38.6%. A win for Inhulets had a probability of 34.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chornomorets Odesa win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Inhulets win was 1-0 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chornomorets Odesa would win this match.

Result
InhuletsDrawChornomorets Odesa
34.88% (1.157 1.16)26.52% (-0.338 -0.34)38.6% (-0.818 -0.82)
Both teams to score 52.37% (1.283 1.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.51% (1.541 1.54)52.49% (-1.542 -1.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.84% (1.306 1.31)74.15% (-1.309 -1.31)
Inhulets Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.28% (1.495 1.49)28.72% (-1.497 -1.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.45% (1.825 1.83)64.55% (-1.827 -1.83)
Chornomorets Odesa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.47% (0.26299999999999 0.26)26.53% (-0.264 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.26% (0.348 0.35)61.73% (-0.35100000000001 -0.35)
Score Analysis
    Inhulets 34.88%
    Chornomorets Odesa 38.6%
    Draw 26.52%
InhuletsDrawChornomorets Odesa
1-0 @ 9.51% (-0.183 -0.18)
2-1 @ 7.87% (0.232 0.23)
2-0 @ 5.93% (0.131 0.13)
3-1 @ 3.27% (0.225 0.23)
3-0 @ 2.47% (0.153 0.15)
3-2 @ 2.17% (0.165 0.17)
4-1 @ 1.02% (0.109 0.11)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 34.88%
1-1 @ 12.61% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-0 @ 7.62% (-0.476 -0.48)
2-2 @ 5.22% (0.192 0.19)
3-3 @ 0.96% (0.079 0.08)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.52%
0-1 @ 10.11% (-0.55 -0.55)
1-2 @ 8.37% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-2 @ 6.71% (-0.314 -0.31)
1-3 @ 3.7% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.97% (-0.116 -0.12)
2-3 @ 2.31% (0.102 0.1)
1-4 @ 1.23% (0.014 0.01)
0-4 @ 0.98% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 38.6%

Head to Head
Sep 4, 2022 1pm
Chornomorets
1-1
Inhulets
James (66')
Yusov (22')
Zaporozhets (33')
Apr 8, 2022 11pm
Inhulets
P-P
Chornomorets
Sep 27, 2021 5.30pm
Chornomorets
1-1
Inhulets
Smyrnyi (39')
Smyrnyi (52'), Fomin (54'), Kravchenko (73')
Bartulovic (87' pen.)
Kovalev (76'), Pospelov (77')