Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 20
Apr 7, 2023 at 1pm UK
Stadion Vorskla im. Oleksiya Butov'skogo

Vorskla
1 - 0
Inhulets

Kravets (49')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Vorskla Poltava and Inhulets.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vorskla Poltava

All competitions
Last Game: Oleksandriya 3-0 Vorskla
Saturday, April 1 at 1pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Inhulets

All competitions
Last Game: Minai 1-2 Inhulets
Saturday, April 1 at 10am in Ukrainian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vorskla Poltava win with a probability of 42.28%. A win for Inhulets had a probability of 30.77% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vorskla Poltava win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Inhulets win was 0-1 (9.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vorskla Poltava in this match.

Result
Vorskla PoltavaDrawInhulets
42.28% (0.179 0.18)26.95% (0.035 0.04)30.77% (-0.212 -0.21)
Both teams to score 49.89% (-0.191 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.87% (-0.203 -0.2)55.13% (0.204 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.62% (-0.167 -0.17)76.38% (0.16800000000001 0.17)
Vorskla Poltava Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.23% (0.0010000000000048 0)25.78% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.28%60.72% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Inhulets Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.21% (-0.25700000000001 -0.26)32.79% (0.258 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.65% (-0.286 -0.29)69.35% (0.288 0.29)
Score Analysis
    Vorskla Poltava 42.27%
    Inhulets 30.77%
    Draw 26.94%
Vorskla PoltavaDrawInhulets
1-0 @ 11.45% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 8.66% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.77% (0.061 0.06)
3-1 @ 3.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 3.51% (0.028 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.18% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.33% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.19% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 42.27%
1-1 @ 12.77% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.45% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.83% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 26.94%
0-1 @ 9.42% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.12% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.25% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.65% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.95% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.8% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 30.77%

Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 11am
Inhulets
0-1
Vorskla

Kucherenko (48')
Oliynyk (34')
Apr 16, 2022 3pm
Inhulets
P-P
Vorskla
Oct 2, 2021 5.30pm
Vorskla
3-0
Inhulets
Rangel (66'), Stepanyuk (77', 84')
Puclin (33')

Bartulovic (21'), Sharay (36')
Feb 21, 2021 12pm
Inhulets
2-2
Vorskla
Bartulovic (22' pen.), Sitchinava (62')
Sitchinava (17'), Kucherenko (38'), Malysh (90+5'), Balan (90+6')
Stepanyuk (49'), Kulach (75' pen.)
Chelyadin (58'), Yavorskyi (63'), Puclin (90')
Sep 13, 2020 5.30pm
Vorskla
2-0
Inhulets
Stepanyuk (36'), Kane (66' pen.)
Albyun (22'), Puclin (34'), Chesnakov (50'), Stepanyuk (52')

Kozak (35'), Lupashko (39'), Synohub (65')
Kozak (70')