Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vorskla Poltava win with a probability of 39.4%. A win for Veres had a probability of 33.99% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vorskla Poltava win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Veres win was 1-0 (9.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.