Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 21
Apr 15, 2023 at 1pm UK
Slavutych-Arena

Luhansk
2 - 1
Dnipro-1

Rusyn (54'), Guerrero (58')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Dovbyk (90+3')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Zorya Luhansk and Dnipro-1.

Form, Standings, Stats

Zorya Luhansk

All competitions
Last Game: Kryvbas Kryvyi 1-0 Luhansk
Saturday, April 8 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League

Dnipro-1

All competitions
Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Dnipro-1 5-2 Lviv
Sunday, April 9 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dnipro-1 win with a probability of 45.12%. A win for Zorya Luhansk had a probability of 30.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dnipro-1 win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Zorya Luhansk win was 1-0 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Zorya LuhanskDrawDnipro-1
30.19% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)24.69% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)45.12% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Both teams to score 56.81% (0.14400000000001 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.98% (0.191 0.19)46.01% (-0.192 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.68% (0.18 0.18)68.32% (-0.182 -0.18)
Zorya Luhansk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.44% (0.087999999999994 0.09)28.56% (-0.09 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.65% (0.112 0.11)64.35% (-0.113 -0.11)
Dnipro-1 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.52% (0.102 0.1)20.47% (-0.103 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.05% (0.161 0.16)52.94% (-0.163 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Zorya Luhansk 30.19%
    Dnipro-1 45.12%
    Draw 24.69%
Zorya LuhanskDrawDnipro-1
1-0 @ 7.33% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-1 @ 7.28%
2-0 @ 4.59% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.04% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.41% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.92% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 0.95% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 30.19%
1-1 @ 11.62% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.85% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.78% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.28% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.69%
0-1 @ 9.27% (-0.046000000000001 -0.05)
1-2 @ 9.22% (0.0059999999999985 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.35% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.87% (0.019 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.89% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 3.05% (0.019 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.93% (0.013 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.54% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.21% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 45.12%

Head to Head
Oct 9, 2022 11am
Dnipro-1
3-0
Luhansk
Dovbyk (29', 59', 75')

Shakhov (62')
Apr 8, 2022 11pm
Luhansk
P-P
Dnipro-1
Sep 26, 2021 3pm
Dnipro-1
0-4
Luhansk

Di Franco (41'), Kogut (81'), Cojocaru (89'), Kravchenko (89')
Kogut (82')
Buletsa (21'), Kochergin (87', 90+5'), Zahedi (90+1')
Nazaryna (16'), Favorov (29'), Kochergin (56'), Khomchenovskiy (61')
May 5, 2021 5pm
Dnipro-1
0-1
Luhansk

Dubinchak (13'), Adamyuk (45+2'), Di Franco (86'), Taylor (90+1')
Ihnatenko (69')
Yurchenko (79' pen.)
Ivanisenya (40'), Vernydub (44'), Sayyadmanesh (85')
Dec 6, 2020 3pm
Luhansk
3-1
Dnipro-1
Gromov (52', 75'), Ivanisenya (84')
Nazarenko (90')