Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 23

Apr 29, 2023 at 11am UK

Slavutych-Arena

Luhansk
3 - 1
Chornomorets

Guerrero (16'), Antyukh (34'), Rusyn (79')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Ermakov (44')

Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Zorya Luhansk and Chornomorets Odesa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Zorya Luhansk

All competitions

Last Game: Kovalivka 0-1 Luhansk
Friday, April 21 at 1pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Goals
for

Chornomorets Odesa

All competitions

Last Game: Kryvbas Kryvyi 2-3 Chornomorets
Sunday, April 23 at 1pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 48.15%. A win for Chornomorets Odesa had a probability of 27.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Chornomorets Odesa win was 0-1 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zorya Luhansk would win this match.

Result
Zorya Luhansk	Draw	Chornomorets Odesa
48.15% ( 0.11)	24.39% ( 0.12)	27.47% ( -0.22)

Both teams to score 55.98% (

-0.56)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.72% (

-0.65)

46.28% (

0.66)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.43% (

-0.62)

68.57% (

0.63)

Zorya Luhansk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.7% (

-0.21)

19.3% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.95% (

-0.35)

51.05% (

0.36)

Chornomorets Odesa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.37% (

-0.5)

30.63% (

0.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.13% (

-0.6)

66.88% (

0.61)

Score Analysis

Zorya Luhansk 48.15%

Chornomorets Odesa 27.47%

Draw 24.38%

Zorya Luhansk	Draw	Chornomorets Odesa
1-0 @ 9.73% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 9.47% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 5.19% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.39% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 2.13% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.8% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.11% Total : 48.15%	1-1 @ 11.5% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 5.91% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 5.6% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.38%	0-1 @ 7% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 6.81% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.14% 1-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.02) Other @ 3% Total : 27.47%