Metal Kharkiv
Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 23
Apr 28, 2023 at 11am UK
 
Dynamo Kiev

Metal Kharkiv
1 - 3
Dynamo Kiev

Priadun (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Syrota (70'), Vanat (75'), Vivcharenko (90+1')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Metal Kharkiv and Dynamo Kiev.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vorskla 3-2 Metal Kharkiv
Saturday, April 22 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Dynamo Kiev 1-1 Shakhtar
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Kiev win with a probability of 62.89%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Metal Kharkiv had a probability of 16.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Kiev win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.92%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.9%), while for a Metal Kharkiv win it was 1-0 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Kiev would win this match.

Result
Metal KharkivDrawDynamo Kiev
16.25% (0.119 0.12)20.85% (0.016999999999999 0.02)62.89% (-0.137 -0.14)
Both teams to score 51.55% (0.209 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.61% (0.141 0.14)44.38% (-0.143 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.24% (0.138 0.14)66.76% (-0.139 -0.14)
Metal Kharkiv Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.59% (0.236 0.24)40.41% (-0.23800000000001 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.97% (0.215 0.22)77.02% (-0.21599999999999 -0.22)
Dynamo Kiev Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)13.49% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.48% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)40.52% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Metal Kharkiv 16.25%
    Dynamo Kiev 62.88%
    Draw 20.85%
Metal KharkivDrawDynamo Kiev
1-0 @ 4.94% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-1 @ 4.48% (0.031 0.03)
2-0 @ 2.24% (0.015 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.36% (0.018 0.02)
3-1 @ 1.35% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 16.25%
1-1 @ 9.9% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.45% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.49% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 20.85%
0-2 @ 10.93% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-1 @ 10.92% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-2 @ 9.91% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-3 @ 7.3% (-0.042000000000001 -0.04)
1-3 @ 6.62% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 3.66% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-4 @ 3.31% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 3% (0.022 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.5% (0.011 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.47% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.33% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 62.88%

Head to Head
Nov 30, 2022 12pm
gameweek 8
Dynamo Kiev
3-0
Metal Kharkiv
Buyalskyy (20'), Vanat (29'), Tsygankov (77')

Tankovskiy (19')