Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 24
May 3, 2023 at 11am UK
Dnipro Arena
Metal Kharkiv

Dnipro-1
5 - 0
Metal Kharkiv

Peglow (33', 40', 90+4'), Hutsuliak (43'), Pidlepenets (76')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Dnipro-1 and Metal Kharkiv.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dnipro-1

All competitions
Last Game: Inhulets 0-2 Dnipro-1
Saturday, April 29 at 12pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Metal Kharkiv

All competitions
Last Game: Metal Kharkiv 1-3 Dynamo Kiev
Friday, April 28 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dnipro-1 win with a probability of 71.75%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Metal Kharkiv had a probability of 10.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dnipro-1 win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.45%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.19%), while for a Metal Kharkiv win it was 0-1 (3.54%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dnipro-1 would win this match.

Result
Dnipro-1DrawMetal Kharkiv
71.75% (0.432 0.43)17.26% (0.072000000000003 0.07)10.99% (-0.503 -0.5)
Both teams to score 48.94% (-2.086 -2.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.81% (-1.801 -1.8)40.18% (1.803 1.8)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.44% (-1.888 -1.89)62.56% (1.888 1.89)
Dnipro-1 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.1% (-0.364 -0.36)9.89% (0.365 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.22% (-0.851 -0.85)32.77% (0.853 0.85)
Metal Kharkiv Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.31% (-2.087 -2.09)45.69% (2.089 2.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.52% (-1.685 -1.69)81.48% (1.686 1.69)
Score Analysis
    Dnipro-1 71.74%
    Metal Kharkiv 10.99%
    Draw 17.26%
Dnipro-1DrawMetal Kharkiv
2-0 @ 12.09% (0.62 0.62)
1-0 @ 10.45% (0.685 0.68)
2-1 @ 9.47% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-0 @ 9.33% (0.33 0.33)
3-1 @ 7.31% (-0.162 -0.16)
4-0 @ 5.39% (0.106 0.11)
4-1 @ 4.23% (-0.164 -0.16)
3-2 @ 2.86% (-0.239 -0.24)
5-0 @ 2.5% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.96% (-0.109 -0.11)
4-2 @ 1.66% (-0.167 -0.17)
6-0 @ 0.96% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 71.74%
1-1 @ 8.19% (0.084 0.08)
0-0 @ 4.52% (0.366 0.37)
2-2 @ 3.71% (-0.245 -0.25)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 17.26%
0-1 @ 3.54% (0.093 0.09)
1-2 @ 3.21% (-0.156 -0.16)
0-2 @ 1.39% (-0.045 -0.05)
2-3 @ 0.97% (-0.125 -0.13)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 10.99%

Head to Head
Oct 23, 2022 11am
gameweek 9
Metal Kharkiv
0-1
Dnipro-1

Tankovskiy (40')
Kogut (85')