Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dnipro-1 win with a probability of 60.42%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Inhulets had a probability of 17.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dnipro-1 win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.17%) and 1-2 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Inhulets win it was 1-0 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dnipro-1 would win this match.