Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih win with a probability of 42.62%. A win for Vorskla Poltava had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (7.72%). The likeliest Vorskla Poltava win was 1-0 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.