Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vorskla Poltava win with a probability of 57.43%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for FC Lviv had a probability of 18.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vorskla Poltava win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.36%) and 1-2 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a FC Lviv win it was 1-0 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vorskla Poltava would win this match.