Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 28
May 24, 2023 at 3pm UK
Slavutych-Arena
Shakhtar Donetsk

Luhansk
0 - 3
Shakhtar

FT(HT: 0-1)
Sudakov (5'), Bondarenko (59'), Kelsy (83')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Zorya Luhansk and Shakhtar Donetsk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Zorya Luhansk

All competitions
Last Game: Luhansk 2-0 Inhulets
Saturday, May 20 at 12pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Shakhtar Donetsk

All competitions
Last Game: Shakhtar 2-1 Veres
Friday, May 19 at 3pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 51.05%. A win for Zorya Luhansk had a probability of 26.43% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.85%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Zorya Luhansk win was 2-1 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.

Result
Zorya LuhanskDrawShakhtar Donetsk
26.43% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)22.52% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)51.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 61.54% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)38.52% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.18% (0.0030000000000001 0)60.82% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Zorya Luhansk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.65% (0.0010000000000048 0)27.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.19%62.8% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Shakhtar Donetsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.71% (0.0020000000000095 0)15.29% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)44% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Score Analysis
    Zorya Luhansk 26.43%
    Shakhtar Donetsk 51.05%
    Draw 22.52%
Zorya LuhanskDrawShakhtar Donetsk
2-1 @ 6.6%
1-0 @ 5.42%
2-0 @ 3.51% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 2.85% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.68%
3-0 @ 1.52%
4-1 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 26.43%
1-1 @ 10.18%
2-2 @ 6.2%
0-0 @ 4.18%
3-3 @ 1.68%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 22.52%
1-2 @ 9.56%
0-1 @ 7.85% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 7.37% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 5.99% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 4.62%
2-3 @ 3.88%
1-4 @ 2.81%
0-4 @ 2.17%
2-4 @ 1.82% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-5 @ 1.06% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.93%
Total : 51.05%

Head to Head
Nov 13, 2022 1pm
gameweek 13
Shakhtar
2-2
Luhansk
Bondarenko (13'), Bondar (63')
Traore (44')
Kyryukhantsev (45'), Buletsa (46')
Apr 23, 2022 1am
gameweek 21
Luhansk
0-0
Shakhtar
Oct 15, 2021 3pm
gameweek 11
Shakhtar
6-1
Luhansk
Fernando (11', 36'), Pedrinho (28'), Tete (71', 90+2'), Sikan (80')
Hladkyy (63')
Kazakov (13'), Sayyadmanesh (90+1')
Feb 28, 2021 3pm
gameweek 16
Shakhtar
0-1
Luhansk

Patrick (57')
Ivanisenya (90+5')
Nazaryna (32')
Juninho (80')
Sep 20, 2020 3pm
gameweek 3
Luhansk
2-2
Shakhtar
Kochergin (20'), Yurchenko (28' pen.)
Favorov (73'), Grechkin (81'), Kochergin (90+3')
Marlos (17'), Krivtsov (49')
Dodo (29'), Marlos (30'), Krivtsov (44'), Stepanenko (57')