Kovalivka
Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 23
Apr 28, 2023 at 1pm UK
Stadion Uman'fermmash
Shakhtar Donetsk

Kovalivka
1 - 3
Shakhtar

Orikhovskyi (13')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Bondarenko (47' pen.), Traore (52'), Kelsy (80')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Kolos Kovalivka and Shakhtar Donetsk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kolos Kovalivka

All competitions
Last Game: Kovalivka 0-1 Luhansk
Friday, April 21 at 1pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Shakhtar Donetsk

All competitions
Last Game: Dynamo Kiev 1-1 Shakhtar
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 64.71%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Kolos Kovalivka had a probability of 15.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.88%) and 0-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.08%), while for a Kolos Kovalivka win it was 2-1 (4.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.

Result
Kolos KovalivkaDrawShakhtar Donetsk
15.81% (0.013999999999999 0.01)19.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)64.71% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Both teams to score 55.25% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.01% (0.018000000000001 0.02)38.99% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.69% (0.018000000000001 0.02)61.31% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Kolos Kovalivka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.33% (0.025999999999996 0.03)37.67% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.55% (0.027000000000001 0.03)74.45% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Shakhtar Donetsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.65% (0.0030000000000001 0)11.35% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.96% (0.0020000000000024 0)36.04%
Score Analysis
    Kolos Kovalivka 15.81%
    Shakhtar Donetsk 64.71%
    Draw 19.49%
Kolos KovalivkaDrawShakhtar Donetsk
2-1 @ 4.43% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 4.17%
2-0 @ 2.04% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.57% (0.002 0)
3-1 @ 1.44% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 15.81%
1-1 @ 9.08%
2-2 @ 4.82% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-0 @ 4.28% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
3-3 @ 1.14% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 19.49%
0-2 @ 10.12%
1-2 @ 9.88%
0-1 @ 9.3% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
0-3 @ 7.34% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 7.17%
0-4 @ 4% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 3.9%
2-3 @ 3.5% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-4 @ 1.9% (0.002 0)
0-5 @ 1.74% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-5 @ 1.7%
Other @ 4.16%
Total : 64.71%

Head to Head
Oct 19, 2022 3pm
gameweek 8
Shakhtar
3-0
Kovalivka
Mudryk (8', 56'), Taylor (47')

Bezborodko (40')
May 14, 2022 1am
gameweek 24
Shakhtar
0-0
Kovalivka
Nov 7, 2021 3pm
gameweek 14
Kovalivka
1-3
Shakhtar
Ilyin (41')
Chornomorets (32'), Lysenko (45'), Novak (81')
Matviyenko (15'), Fernando (25'), Mudryk (72')
Bondarenko (36'), Patrick (47'), Marlos (59'), Fernando (79')
Feb 14, 2021 12pm
gameweek 14
Kovalivka
0-0
Shakhtar

Petrov (32'), Antyukh (44'), Bogdanov (60'), Chornomorets (64'), Kostyshyn (86'), Kravchenko (89')
Aug 21, 2020 5pm
gameweek 1
Shakhtar
3-1
Kovalivka
Patrick (60' pen., 70'), Tete (72')
Kostyshyn (77')
Emets (31'), Volynets (45+1'), Zadoya (52'), Maksymenko (59'), Bondarenko (60')
rhs 2.0


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