Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 52.42%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Kolos Kovalivka had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.71%) and 0-2 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.31%), while for a Kolos Kovalivka win it was 1-0 (6.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.