/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F41%2Fshaklog.png)
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Taison
27'
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Heorhii Sudakov
44'
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Alan Patrick
64'
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Taison
75'
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Sergiy Gorbunov
72'
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Mariupol - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 64.59%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Mariupol had a probability of 14.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.05%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.9%), while for a Mariupol win it was 0-1 (5.03%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.
Result
Shakhtar Donetsk
64.59%
Draw
20.83%
Mariupol
14.58%
Both Teams to Score:
47.73%
Goals
Over 2.5
52.54%
Under 2.5
47.45%
Over 3.5
30.33%
Under 3.5
69.67%
Shakhtar Donetsk Goals
Over 0.5
86.05%
Under 0.5
13.95%
Over 1.5
58.57%
Under 1.5
41.42%
Mariupol Goals
Over 0.5
55.47%
Under 0.5
44.53%
Over 1.5
19.44%
Under 1.5
80.56%
Score analysis
Shakhtar Donetsk
64.59%
Draw
20.83%
Mariupol
14.58%
Shakhtar Donetsk
1-0
@
12.23%
2-0 @ 12.05%
2-1 @ 9.75%
3-0 @ 7.91%
3-1 @ 6.4%
4-0 @ 3.9%
4-1 @ 3.15%
3-2 @ 2.59%
5-0 @ 1.54%
4-2 @ 1.28%
5-1 @ 1.24%
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 64.59%
2-0 @ 12.05%
2-1 @ 9.75%
3-0 @ 7.91%
3-1 @ 6.4%
4-0 @ 3.9%
4-1 @ 3.15%
3-2 @ 2.59%
5-0 @ 1.54%
4-2 @ 1.28%
5-1 @ 1.24%
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 64.59%
Draw
1-1
@
9.9%
0-0 @ 6.21%
2-2 @ 3.94%
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 20.83%
0-0 @ 6.21%
2-2 @ 3.94%
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 20.83%
Mariupol
0-1
@
5.03%
1-2 @ 4%
0-2 @ 2.03%
1-3 @ 1.08%
2-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 14.58%
1-2 @ 4%
0-2 @ 2.03%
1-3 @ 1.08%
2-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 14.58%
