Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Shakhtar Donetsk and Vorskla Poltava.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 66.48%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Vorskla Poltava had a probability of 13.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.83%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.65%), while for a Vorskla Poltava win it was 0-1 (4.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shakhtar Donetsk | Draw | Vorskla Poltava |
| 66.48% | 20.39% | 13.13% |
| Both teams to score 45.34% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.37% | 48.63% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.25% | 70.75% |
| Shakhtar Donetsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.25% | 13.75% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.97% | 41.03% |
| Vorskla Poltava Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.57% | 47.43% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.19% | 82.81% |
| Score Analysis |
Shakhtar Donetsk 66.47%
Vorskla Poltava 13.14%
Draw 20.39%
| Shakhtar Donetsk | Draw | Vorskla Poltava |
| 1-0 @ 12.94% 2-0 @ 12.83% 2-1 @ 9.58% 3-0 @ 8.49% 3-1 @ 6.33% 4-0 @ 4.21% 4-1 @ 3.14% 3-2 @ 2.36% 5-0 @ 1.67% 5-1 @ 1.25% 4-2 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.49% Total : 66.47% | 1-1 @ 9.65% 0-0 @ 6.52% 2-2 @ 3.57% Other @ 0.64% Total : 20.39% | 0-1 @ 4.86% 1-2 @ 3.6% 0-2 @ 1.81% Other @ 2.86% Total : 13.14% |


