Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 48.78%. A win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 26.9% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Shakhtar Donetsk win was 0-1 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Monchengladbach would win this match.
