Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 72.64%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Inhulets had a probability of 10.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.68%), while for a Inhulets win it was 2-1 (3.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Shakhtar Donetsk in this match.