Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rukh Lviv win with a probability of 36.91%. A win for Inhulets had a probability of 35.92% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rukh Lviv win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.04%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Inhulets win was 0-1 (10.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rukh Lviv would win this match.