Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 56.37%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih had a probability of 20.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.24%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%), while for a Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih win it was 0-1 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.